India

The Lok Sabha results where Uddhav & Sharad Pawar got the most seats were all thanks to Muslim vote consolidation & with Modi himself going from place to place & the entire narrative of "Hindus Must Unite & Consolidate Votes" doing rounds on the ground along with that fiscally imprudent "Laadki Bahin & Laadka Bhau" Yojana in place.....It seems to me this one is as neck-to-neck as it gets. Haryana is where I felt the BJP would lose but fortunes turned real quick. In Maharashtra, in the Konkan Belt along with Thane, NDA Dominates like anything....It again happened in the Lok Sabha polls. The NDA has lost ground in Vidharbha & Marathwada due to that Jarange Patil (where theories claim that he's funded by Sharad Pawar - dumbo continuously criticises Fadnavis). Jarange is polarized by the people there so much that even in schools, kids have stopped speaking to one another because someone is a Dalit/OBC & someone is a Maratha. In Lok Sabha polls, BJP had a higher vote share by nearly 2-4% than INDI but it couldn't get converted to seats because a few Assembly constituencies had higher Muslim voters & the consolidation at times overpowered the other assembly seats vis-a-vis the Lok Sabha Constituencies. In Western Maharashtra, the caste narrative of Jarange did play out but not bigtime. And now people are interestingly questioning Sharad Pawar's role in Jarange's activities so that's another factor.